Market seasonality

Decades of market tendencies, on your side

Every journal tells you what you did. note500 also tells you what the market tends to do from here — built from about 100 years of S&P 500 history (plus DJI, NDX and QQQ), by month, by week and day by day, with this year's actual path traced right on top. So "is this month usually like this?" finally has an answer. It's market context no other mainstream journal ships.

Plus
note500 — seasonality
The note500 seasonality view: monthly seasonality bars with win rates, an average-path chart with the current year overlaid, and a named-windows table. The note500 seasonal roadmap: the 98-year average year path traced against the current year's actual path, day by day, with a today marker. The note500 weekly seasonality: bars for each week of the year with win rates, and an average-path-within-week chart.

Seasonality — monthly tendencies & avg path vs this year

The context

The market has habits too. Know which ones you’re trading with, and which ones against.

Choose a 10-, 20-, 30-year or full-history window, read the average return and win rate for the current month, and see forward-return expectations for the next few weeks — every stat carries its sample size so thin data is easy to spot. With Compare, your own results lay over the same calendar, so you can see whether you trade better with a seasonal tailwind or a headwind.

Read the full Seasonality guide →

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